Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Derry City vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 13 March: Derry City v Shelbourne in the Premier Division, played at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Derry City, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Shelbourne, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shamrock Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.6 xG, Shelbourne 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 44%, draw 25%, Shelbourne 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Shelbourne31%fair 3.24 · @3.25
2.88Expected goals
1.59Derry City xG
1.28Shelbourne xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.6 – 1.3 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Derry City (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Shelbourne +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Derry City to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Derry City – last 4
LWLD
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shelbourne – last 4
DLWD
9 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Shelbourne.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Derry City vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Derry City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shelbourne 31%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Derry City vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
