Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓58% · @1.64
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Drogheda United travel to face St Patrick's Athl. on Friday 13 March in the Premier Division, with Richmond Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl., last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Shelbourne, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Drogheda United, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shelbourne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Drogheda United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.6 xG, Drogheda United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 58%, draw 25%, Drogheda United 17%.
Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St Patrick's Athl.58%fair 1.71 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.55
Drogheda United17%fair 5.87 · @5.60
2.37Expected goals
1.58St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.79Drogheda United xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.6 – 0.8 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
58%
1.71
1.64
Double chance
St Patrick's Athl. or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
St Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Drogheda United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
St Patrick's Athl. to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
St Patrick's Athl. – last 4
WWWL
6 Mar
@ Shelbourne
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Drogheda United – last 3
LDW
27 Feb
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Drogheda United.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Drogheda United 17%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
