Bohemians vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundalk travel to face Bohemians on Friday 20 March in the Premier Division, with Dalymount Park the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Bohemians are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bohemians, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shelbourne, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Dundalk, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.2 for Dundalk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 1.9 xG, Dundalk 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 59%, draw 23%, Dundalk 19%.
Lower-risk option: Bohemians or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bohemians59%fair 1.70 · @1.72
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Dundalk19%fair 5.35 · @4.80
2.92Expected goals
1.88Bohemians xG
1.04Dundalk xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.9 – 1.0 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✗
59%
1.70
1.72
Double chance
Bohemians or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
Bohemians (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Bohemians to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Bohemians ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Bohemians – last 5
DWWWW
16 Mar
@ Shelbourne
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Waterford
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Shamrock Rovers
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Derry City
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 6
WDLDDD
16 Mar
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Galway United
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bohemians and Dundalk.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Bohemians vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundalk 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Dundalk?
Bohemians vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
