Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St Patrick's Athl. travel to face Waterford on Friday 20 March in the Premier Division, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Waterford, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Galway United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Derry City, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Waterford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.2 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 25%, draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 50%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford25%fair 3.96 · @4.90
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
St Patrick's Athl.50%fair 2.01 · @1.69
2.67Expected goals
1.20Waterford xG
1.47St Patrick's Athl. xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.2 – 1.5 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
50%
2.01
1.69
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
St Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Waterford +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
St Patrick's Athl. to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Waterford – last 5
LLLDL
16 Mar
@ Galway United
3–4
L
6 Mar
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Derry City
2–4
L
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
St Patrick's Athl. – last 6
DWWWWL
16 Mar
vs Derry City
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Drogheda United
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ Shelbourne
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and St Patrick's Athl..
What is the prediction for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Waterford have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and St Patrick's Athl. 50%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
