Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✗58% · @1.56
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Derry City vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City welcome Drogheda United to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 20 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with St Patrick's Athl., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Drogheda United, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shamrock Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.6 xG, Drogheda United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 58%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 18%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–0 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City58%fair 1.73 · @1.56
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90
Drogheda United18%fair 5.47 · @5.90
2.57Expected goals
1.65Derry City xG
0.92Drogheda United xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.6 – 0.9 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
58%
1.73
1.56
Double chance
Derry City or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Derry City (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Drogheda United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Derry City to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Derry City – last 6
DLLWLD
16 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Drogheda United – last 5
DLLDW
16 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
27 Feb
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Drogheda United.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Derry City vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Derry City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Drogheda United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Derry City vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
