Galway United vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Premier Division brings Galway United against Derry City at Eamonn Deacy Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Galway United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48.
Current form
Galway United, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Drogheda United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Galway United 1.2 xG, Derry City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Galway United 32%, draw 27%, Derry City 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galway United 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Galway United32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Derry City42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
2.51Expected goals
1.17Galway United xG
1.34Derry City xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.2 – 1.3 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Derry City (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Galway United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Derry City to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Galway United – last 6
LWLDLW
20 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Waterford
4–3
W
13 Mar
@ Bohemians
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Derry City – last 6
DDLLWL
20 Mar
vs Drogheda United
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galway United and Derry City.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Galway United vs Derry City?
On our numbers Galway United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Derry City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Derry City?
Galway United vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
