Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗53% · @1.85
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Shelbourne vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundalk travel to face Shelbourne on Friday 3 April in the Premier Division, with Tolka Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bohemians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dundalk, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bohemians, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 2.0 xG, Dundalk 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 53%, draw 25%, Dundalk 21%.
Lower-risk option: Shelbourne or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shelbourne or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 2–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne53%fair 1.87 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Dundalk21%fair 4.67 · @4.20
3.32Expected goals
2.01Shelbourne xG
1.31Dundalk xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 2.0 – 1.3 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Double chance
Shelbourne or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Shelbourne ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Shelbourne – last 6
DWDLWD
16 Mar
vs Bohemians
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Derry City
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 6
DWDLDD
20 Mar
@ Bohemians
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Galway United
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Dundalk.
Our pick is Shelbourne or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dundalk 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 2–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
Shelbourne vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
