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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Richmond Park
4–1
FT
St Patrick's Athl. 70%Draw 20%Sligo Rovers 10% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.61
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓70% · @1.34
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52

St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

St Patrick's Athl. welcome Sligo Rovers to Richmond Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 3 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Waterford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sligo Rovers, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dundalk, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Sligo Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 70%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.70%fair 1.43 · @1.34
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.50
Sligo Rovers10%fair 9.81 · @9.80
2.53Expected goals
1.92St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.61Sligo Rovers xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 – 0.6 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓70%1.431.34
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.62
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.12
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultSt Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.52–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WDWWWW
20 Mar@ Waterford2–0W
16 Marvs Derry City0–0D
13 Marvs Drogheda United4–1W
6 Mar@ Shelbourne3–2W
2 Marvs Galway United1–0W
27 Febvs Dundalk4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sligo Rovers – last 4

LLLD
16 Mar@ Dundalk0–1L
13 Marvs Shamrock Rovers0–2L
27 Feb@ Galway United0–1L
20 Feb@ Waterford0–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sligo Rovers 10%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.