Derry City 35%Draw 26%Shamrock Rovers 39%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.30
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Derry City to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultShamrock Rovers to win39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.32
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the Premier Division brings Derry City against Shamrock Rovers at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Shamrock Rovers are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shelbourne, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bohemians, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Derry City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.3 xG, Shamrock Rovers 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 35%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Derry City to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City35%fair 2.90 · @3.15
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.15
Shamrock Rovers39%fair 2.54 · @2.28
2.62Expected goals
1.32Derry City xG
1.30Shamrock Rovers xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.3 – 1.3 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Derry City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shamrock Rovers 39%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
