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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waterford v Galway United: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Regional Sports Centre
1–1
FT
Waterford 39%Draw 25%Galway United 36% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.21
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Waterford to win @ 3.05 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWaterford to win ✗39% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

Waterford vs Galway United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Galway United travel to face Waterford on Friday 24 April in the Premier Division, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Galway United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waterford, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bohemians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Galway United, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dundalk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Galway United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Waterford.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Galway United 4–3 Waterford.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.5 xG, Galway United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 39%, draw 25%, Galway United 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Waterford to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Galway United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterford39%fair 2.55 · @3.05
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.35
Galway United36%fair 2.79 · @2.26
2.75Expected goals
1.53Waterford xG
1.21Galway United xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Waterford 1.5 – 1.2 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaterford to win ✗39%2.553.05 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.67
Draw no betWaterford (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapGalway United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.11
First team to scoreWaterford to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waterford / FT Waterford ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.94–

Recent results

Waterford – last 6

DDLLLL
6 Apr@ Bohemians1–1D
3 Aprvs Shamrock Rovers1–1D
20 Marvs St Patrick's Athl.0–2L
16 Mar@ Galway United3–4L
6 Marvs Bohemians0–1L
27 Feb@ Derry City2–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Galway United – last 6

LWWLWL
17 Apr@ Dundalk1–2L
6 Apr@ Drogheda United3–2W
3 Aprvs Derry City2–1W
20 Mar@ Shamrock Rovers0–2L
16 Marvs Waterford4–3W
13 Mar@ Bohemians0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Mar 2026Galway United v Waterford4–3
Waterford vs Galway United head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterford vs Galway United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?

On our numbers Waterford have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Galway United 36%.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Galway United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Galway United?

Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Waterford vs Galway United?

Waterford vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.