Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗54% · @1.72
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Shelbourne vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 24 April: Shelbourne v Drogheda United in the Premier Division, played at Tolka Park. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Derry City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Drogheda United, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Drogheda United 1–2 Shelbourne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.7 xG, Drogheda United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 54%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 22%.
Lower-risk option: Shelbourne or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne54%fair 1.84 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Drogheda United22%fair 4.56 · @5.00
2.77Expected goals
1.70Shelbourne xG
1.07Drogheda United xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.7 – 1.1 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Drogheda United 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Shelbourne vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
