Derry City vs Bohemians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 12 June: Derry City v Bohemians in the Premier Division, played at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Bohemians are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dundalk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Bohemians, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sligo Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Bohemians 1–1 Derry City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Derry City 0 wins, Bohemians 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.3 xG, Bohemians 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 34%, draw 26%, Bohemians 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Bohemians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
Bohemians40%fair 2.52 · @2.32
2.56Expected goals
1.27Derry City xG
1.29Bohemians xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.3 – 1.3 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Derry City vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Derry City have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bohemians 40%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
