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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waterford v Sligo Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Regional Sports Centre
4–0
FT
Waterford 51%Draw 22%Sligo Rovers 27% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.03
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Waterford to win @ 2.18 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWaterford to win ✓51% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Waterford vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Waterford welcome Sligo Rovers to Regional Sports Centre for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 12 June (19:45 WAT). In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Waterford, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Drogheda United, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Sligo Rovers, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bohemians, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Waterford 0–0 Sligo Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.9 xG, Sligo Rovers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 51%, draw 22%, Sligo Rovers 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Waterford to win @2.18 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterford51%fair 1.95 · @2.18
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.45
Sligo Rovers27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
2.92Expected goals
1.89Waterford xG
1.03Sligo Rovers xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Waterford 1.9 – 1.0 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaterford to win ✓51%1.952.18 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.62
Draw no betWaterford (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapSligo Rovers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.12
First team to scoreWaterford to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultWaterford ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waterford / FT Waterford ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Waterford – last 6

DLWLDL
29 May@ Drogheda United3–3D
22 May@ Shelbourne1–2L
18 Mayvs Drogheda United2–1W
8 May@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
4 Mayvs Dundalk3–3D
1 May@ Shamrock Rovers0–1L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sligo Rovers – last 6

LWDDLW
29 Mayvs Bohemians1–3L
22 May@ Shamrock Rovers2–1W
8 May@ Shelbourne0–0D
4 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.1–1D
1 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
10 Apr@ Bohemians2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Waterford v Sligo Rovers0–0
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?

On our numbers Waterford have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sligo Rovers 27%.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?

Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?

Waterford vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.