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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Richmond Park
St Patrick's Athl. 64%Draw 22%Drogheda United 14% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.82
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓64% · @1.34
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Drogheda United travel to face St Patrick's Athl. on Friday 12 June in the Premier Division, with Richmond Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Drogheda United, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Waterford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Drogheda United 1–3 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 2 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 2 wins, Drogheda United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.8 xG, Drogheda United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 64%, draw 22%, Drogheda United 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.64%fair 1.56 · @1.34
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.55
Drogheda United14%fair 7.32 · @9.70
2.61Expected goals
1.79St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.82Drogheda United xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.8 – 0.8 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓64%1.561.34
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.05 ▲
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.13
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultSt Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

LDWDDW
29 May@ Shamrock Rovers0–1L
22 May@ Derry City0–0D
8 Mayvs Waterford4–1W
4 May@ Sligo Rovers1–1D
1 May@ Galway United2–2D
24 Aprvs Bohemians3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Drogheda United – last 6

DDLWLW
29 Mayvs Waterford3–3D
22 Mayvs Dundalk1–1D
18 May@ Waterford1–2L
8 Mayvs Derry City1–0W
4 May@ Shamrock Rovers1–4L
1 Mayvs Sligo Rovers1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.1–3
13 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United4–1
St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Drogheda United 14%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.