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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Galway United v Derry City: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Eamonn Deacy Park
2–1
FT
Galway United 32%Draw 27%Derry City 41% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.34
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerry City to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Galway United vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 19 June: Galway United v Derry City in the Premier Division, played at Eamonn Deacy Park. In the table, Galway United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48.

Current form

Galway United, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dundalk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Derry City, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bohemians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Galway United.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Derry City 1–1 Galway United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Galway United 1 win, Derry City 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Galway United 1.2 xG, Derry City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Galway United 32%, draw 27%, Derry City 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galway United 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Galway United32%fair 3.10 · @3.05
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Derry City41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
2.53Expected goals
1.19Galway United xG
1.34Derry City xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Galway United 1.2 – 1.3 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerry City to win ✗41%2.442.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.77
Draw no betDerry City (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapGalway United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreDerry City to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derry City / FT Derry City ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Galway United – last 6

LDLLDD
12 Junvs Dundalk0–1L
29 May@ Shelbourne1–1D
22 Mayvs Bohemians2–4L
8 Mayvs Shamrock Rovers1–3L
4 May@ Derry City1–1D
1 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Derry City – last 6

WLDDLD
12 Junvs Bohemians4–1W
29 May@ Dundalk1–2L
25 Mayvs Shelbourne0–0D
22 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.0–0D
8 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
4 Mayvs Galway United1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Derry City v Galway United1–1
3 Apr 2026Galway United v Derry City2–1
Galway United vs Derry City head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Galway United vs Derry City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Galway United vs Derry City?

On our numbers Galway United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Derry City 41%.

How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Derry City?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Derry City?

Our predicted score is Galway United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Galway United vs Derry City?

Galway United vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.