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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waterford v Shamrock Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Regional Sports Centre
0–2
FT
Waterford 28%Draw 23%Shamrock Rovers 49% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.59
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓49% · @1.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Waterford welcome Shamrock Rovers to Regional Sports Centre for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 19 June (19:45 WAT). In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Shamrock Rovers are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Waterford, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Shamrock Rovers, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shelbourne, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Waterford.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Waterford. The last 2 head-to-heads: Waterford 0 wins, Shamrock Rovers 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.4 xG, Shamrock Rovers 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 28%, draw 23%, Shamrock Rovers 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterford28%fair 3.63 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Shamrock Rovers49%fair 2.02 · @1.63
3.00Expected goals
1.41Waterford xG
1.59Shamrock Rovers xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Waterford 1.4 – 1.6 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShamrock Rovers to win ✓49%2.021.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.601.70 ▲
Draw no betShamrock Rovers (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapWaterford +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.531.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.15
First team to scoreShamrock Rovers to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers ✓25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

Waterford – last 6

WDLWLD
12 Junvs Sligo Rovers4–0W
29 May@ Drogheda United3–3D
22 May@ Shelbourne1–2L
18 Mayvs Drogheda United2–1W
8 May@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
4 Mayvs Dundalk3–3D
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Shamrock Rovers – last 6

LWWLWW
12 Jun@ Shelbourne1–2L
29 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.1–0W
25 May@ Bohemians2–1W
22 Mayvs Sligo Rovers1–2L
8 May@ Galway United3–1W
4 Mayvs Drogheda United4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v Waterford1–0
3 Apr 2026Waterford v Shamrock Rovers1–1
Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers?

On our numbers Waterford have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shamrock Rovers 49%.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers?

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.