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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Richmond Park
2–0
FT
St Patrick's Athl. 70%Draw 20%Sligo Rovers 10% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.66
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓70% · @1.26
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 19 June the Premier Division brings St Patrick's Athl. against Sligo Rovers at Richmond Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Drogheda United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sligo Rovers, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Waterford, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sligo Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Sligo Rovers 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 2 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 1 win, Sligo Rovers 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 2.0 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 70%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.70%fair 1.43 · @1.26
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @5.00
Sligo Rovers10%fair 9.79 · @12.50
2.67Expected goals
2.01St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.66Sligo Rovers xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.0 – 0.7 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓70%1.431.26
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.05 ▲
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.18
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultSt Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WLDWDD
12 Junvs Drogheda United2–0W
29 May@ Shamrock Rovers0–1L
22 May@ Derry City0–0D
8 Mayvs Waterford4–1W
4 May@ Sligo Rovers1–1D
1 May@ Galway United2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sligo Rovers – last 6

LLWDDL
12 Jun@ Waterford0–4L
29 Mayvs Bohemians1–3L
22 May@ Shamrock Rovers2–1W
8 May@ Shelbourne0–0D
4 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.1–1D
1 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.1–1
3 Apr 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers4–1
St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sligo Rovers 10%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.