Value bet: Derry City to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBohemians to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Bohemians vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 21 August: Bohemians v Derry City in the Premier Division, played at Dalymount Park. In the table, Bohemians are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bohemians, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Longford Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UCD, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Bohemians.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Derry City 4–1 Bohemians. The last 3 head-to-heads: Bohemians 1 win, Derry City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 1.4 xG, Derry City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 46%, draw 23%, Derry City 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Derry City to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bohemians46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Derry City31%fair 3.21 · @3.70
2.53Expected goals
1.42Bohemians xG
1.10Derry City xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.4 – 1.1 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bohemians vs Derry City?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Derry City 31%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
