Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.69 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Premier Division brings Drogheda United against St Patrick's Athl. at Weavers Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Drogheda United, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over College Corinthians, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shamrock Rovers, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Drogheda United 0 wins, St Patrick's Athl. 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 0.8 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 15%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 63%.
Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: St Patrick's Athl. to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 0–2 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drogheda United15%fair 6.75 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
St Patrick's Athl.63%fair 1.58 · @1.69
2.62Expected goals
0.76Drogheda United xG
1.85St Patrick's Athl. xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 0.8 – 1.9 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 63%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 0–2 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
