Dundalk 63%Draw 22%Galway United 15%Expected goals 2.09 – 0.93
85%
Betarazi pick
Dundalk or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Dundalk to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceDundalk or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Dundalk vs Galway United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 21 August: Dundalk v Galway United in the Premier Division, played at Oriel Park. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Galway United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Castlebar Celtic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Galway United, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bray Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Galway United 0–1 Dundalk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Dundalk 2 wins, Galway United 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 2.1 xG, Galway United 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 63%, draw 22%, Galway United 15%.
Lower-risk option: Dundalk or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Dundalk to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dundalk or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 2–0 Galway United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Galway United15%fair 6.83 · @4.10
3.02Expected goals
2.09Dundalk xG
0.93Galway United xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dundalk 2.1 – 0.9 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Galway United?
Our pick is Dundalk or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dundalk vs Galway United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galway United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Galway United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–0 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Galway United?
Dundalk vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
