Wednesday 11 November 2026 10 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundalk v St Patrick's Athl.: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

DLWLW
0–4
FT
Dundalk 33%Draw 21%St Patrick's Athl. 46% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.52
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

St Patrick's Athl. travel to face Dundalk on Monday 14 September in the Premier Division, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dundalk, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Waterford, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shamrock Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Dundalk.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Dundalk 1 win, St Patrick's Athl. 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.2 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 33%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundalk33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
St Patrick's Athl.46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
2.75Expected goals
1.23Dundalk xG
1.52St Patrick's Athl. xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.2 – 1.5 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓46%2.172.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.65
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapDundalk +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✓26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Dundalk – last 6

DLWLWL
11 Sep@ Waterford1–1D
6 Sep@ Derry City2–4L
28 Aug@ Drogheda United3–2W
21 Augvs Galway United1–2L
15 Augvs Castlebar Celtic8–0W
7 Aug@ Shamrock Rovers2–3L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WDLWDW
11 Sepvs Shamrock Rovers2–0W
5 Sepvs Bohemians0–0D
28 Augvs Waterford0–2L
21 Aug@ Drogheda United2–0W
16 Augvs Shamrock Rovers2–2D
9 Aug@ Shelbourne2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk1–1
6 Apr 2026Dundalk v St Patrick's Athl.2–0
27 Feb 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk4–0
Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St Patrick's Athl. 46%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.