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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waterford v Derry City: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Regional Sports Centre
2–2
FT
Waterford 38%Draw 21%Derry City 40% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.45
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerry City to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76

Waterford vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Derry City travel to face Waterford on Monday 14 September in the Premier Division, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48.

Current form

Waterford, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dundalk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Derry City, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shelbourne, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Derry City 2–4 Waterford. The last 2 head-to-heads: Waterford 1 win, Derry City 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.4 xG, Derry City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 38%, draw 21%, Derry City 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterford38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Derry City40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
2.85Expected goals
1.40Waterford xG
1.45Derry City xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Waterford 1.4 – 1.4 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerry City to win ✗40%2.482.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.57
Draw no betDerry City (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapWaterford +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreDerry City to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derry City / FT Derry City ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.76–

Recent results

Waterford – last 6

DWWDWW
11 Sepvs Dundalk1–1D
4 Sepvs Sligo Rovers3–0W
28 Aug@ St Patrick's Athl.2–0W
21 Aug@ Sligo Rovers0–0D
14 Augvs Athlone Town2–1W
9 Augvs Bohemians3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Derry City – last 6

WWDLWW
11 Sep@ Shelbourne1–0W
6 Sepvs Dundalk4–2W
30 Augvs Shamrock Rovers3–3D
21 Aug@ Bohemians3–5L
14 Aug@ UCD2–1W
7 Augvs Sligo Rovers2–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Derry City v Waterford2–4
27 Feb 2026Derry City v Waterford4–2
Waterford vs Derry City head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterford vs Derry City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Waterford vs Derry City?

On our numbers Waterford have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Derry City 40%.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Derry City?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Derry City?

Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Waterford vs Derry City?

Waterford vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.