Shelbourne 57%Draw 23%Drogheda United 20%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.95
80%
Betarazi pick
Shelbourne or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Shelbourne vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shelbourne welcome Drogheda United to Tolka Park for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 14 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Derry City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Drogheda United, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Drogheda United, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Shelbourne.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Drogheda United 2–2 Shelbourne. The last 3 head-to-heads: Shelbourne 1 win, Drogheda United 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.8 xG, Drogheda United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 57%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 20%.
Lower-risk option: Shelbourne or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shelbourne or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–0 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Drogheda United20%fair 4.96 · @4.20
2.71Expected goals
1.76Shelbourne xG
0.95Drogheda United xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.8 – 0.9 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Shelbourne or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drogheda United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Shelbourne vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
