Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St Patrick's Athl. welcome Shamrock Rovers to Richmond Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 11 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Shamrock Rovers are 1st (leading the league) with 68.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bohemians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Derry City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Shamrock Rovers.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 2–2 Shamrock Rovers. The last 4 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 0 wins, Shamrock Rovers 3, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.3 xG, Shamrock Rovers 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 42%, draw 24%, Shamrock Rovers 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Shamrock Rovers to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St Patrick's Athl.42%fair 2.40 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Shamrock Rovers34%fair 2.92 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.31St Patrick's Athl. xG
1.16Shamrock Rovers xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.3 – 1.2 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shamrock Rovers 34%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
