Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaterford to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Waterford vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 11 September: Waterford v Dundalk in the Premier Division, played at Regional Sports Centre. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waterford, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Dundalk, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Derry City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Waterford, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Dundalk.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Dundalk 2–3 Waterford. The last 2 head-to-heads: Waterford 1 win, Dundalk 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.6 xG, Dundalk 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 44%, draw 21%, Dundalk 35%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Waterford to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford44%fair 2.26 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Dundalk35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
3.07Expected goals
1.65Waterford xG
1.42Dundalk xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.6 – 1.4 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Waterford vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Waterford have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundalk 35%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Dundalk?
Waterford vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
