Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✓65% · @1.26
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Cork City vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the First Division brings Cork City against Longford Town at Turners Cross. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Cork City are 1st, leading the league, on 75 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cork City, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cobh Ramblers, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 1.9 xG, Longford Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 65%, draw 20%, Longford Town 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 2–0 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cork City65%fair 1.54 · @1.26
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @5.40
Longford Town15%fair 6.45 · @11.00
2.81Expected goals
1.88Cork City xG
0.93Longford Town xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cork City 1.9 – 0.9 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✓
65%
1.54
1.26
Double chance
Cork City or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Cork City (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Longford Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Cork City to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Cork City ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Cork City – last 4
DWWW
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Wexford
4–1
W
13 Feb
vs Treaty United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 2
DD
27 Feb
@ Kerry
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Bray Wanderers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cork City and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Cork City vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cork City vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Cork City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Longford Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Cork City 2–0 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs Longford Town?
Cork City vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1