Finn Harps vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 13 March: Finn Harps v Treaty United in the First Division, played at Finn Park. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Treaty United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Finn Harps, last 4: DDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wexford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Treaty United, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kerry, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Finn Harps, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Treaty United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.2 xG, Treaty United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 39%, draw 26%, Treaty United 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 1–1 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finn Harps39%fair 2.56 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.35
Treaty United34%fair 2.90 · @3.05
2.42Expected goals
1.21Finn Harps xG
1.21Treaty United xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.2 – 1.2 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Finn Harps to win✗
39%
2.56
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Finn Harps (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Finn Harps +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Treaty United to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treaty United / FT Treaty United✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.70
–
Recent results
Finn Harps – last 4
DDWL
6 Mar
vs Wexford
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs UCD
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Treaty United – last 4
DLLL
6 Mar
vs Kerry
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ UCD
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finn Harps and Treaty United.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Treaty United 34%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Finn Harps vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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