Value bet: Kerry to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWexford to win ✗40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Wexford vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry travel to face Wexford on Friday 13 March in the First Division, with Ferrycarrig Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Wexford, last 4: DDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Finn Harps, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Kerry, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Treaty United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Wexford, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Kerry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.3 xG, Kerry 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 40%, draw 26%, Kerry 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Kerry to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wexford40%fair 2.49 · @2.16
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Kerry34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
2.68Expected goals
1.34Wexford xG
1.34Kerry xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.3 – 1.3 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wexford to win✗
40%
2.49
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Wexford (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Kerry +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Wexford to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wexford / FT Wexford✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Recent results
Wexford – last 4
DDLW
6 Mar
@ Finn Harps
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
13 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 4
DDLL
6 Mar
@ Treaty United
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Athlone Town
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wexford and Kerry.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Wexford vs Kerry?
On our numbers Wexford have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kerry 34%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Kerry?
Wexford vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
