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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Carlisle Grounds
2–2
FT
Bray Wanderers 61%Draw 21%Finn Harps 18% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.87
82%
Betarazi pick

Bray Wanderers or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Bray Wanderers to win @ 1.76 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗61% · @1.76
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 6 April the First Division brings Bray Wanderers against Finn Harps at Carlisle Grounds. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Bray Wanderers are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bray Wanderers, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wexford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Finn Harps, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cork City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bray Wanderers, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Finn Harps.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bray Wanderers 1.9 xG, Finn Harps 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bray Wanderers 61%, draw 21%, Finn Harps 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bray Wanderers or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Bray Wanderers to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bray Wanderers or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bray Wanderers 1–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bray Wanderers61%fair 1.65 · @1.76
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.70
Finn Harps18%fair 5.63 · @4.30
2.82Expected goals
1.95Bray Wanderers xG
0.87Finn Harps xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Bray Wanderers 1.9 – 0.9 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✗61%1.651.76 ▲
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✓82%1.221.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.67
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapBray Wanderers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultBray Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Bray Wanderers – last 6

LWDWWL
3 Apr@ Wexford1–2L
27 Marvs Kerry2–1W
20 Mar@ Cobh Ramblers1–1D
13 Marvs UCD2–1W
6 Marvs Athlone Town2–1W
27 Feb@ Cork City0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Finn Harps – last 6

DLDDDW
3 Aprvs Cork City0–0D
20 Mar@ Kerry0–1L
13 Marvs Treaty United2–2D
6 Marvs Wexford1–1D
27 Feb@ Cobh Ramblers1–1D
20 Febvs UCD2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps.

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Our pick is Bray Wanderers or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

On our numbers Bray Wanderers have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Finn Harps 18%.

How many goals will there be in Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Our predicted score is Bray Wanderers 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Carlisle Grounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.