Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUCD to win ✗52% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
UCD vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCD welcome Wexford to UCD Bowl for a First Division fixture on Monday 6 April (17:00 WAT). In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Wexford are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCD, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Athlone Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Wexford, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bray Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 2.0 xG, Wexford 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 52%, draw 23%, Wexford 25%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: UCD to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD52%fair 1.91 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
Wexford25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
3.09Expected goals
1.96UCD xG
1.13Wexford xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: UCD 2.0 – 1.1 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCD to win✗
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
UCD (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Wexford +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
UCD to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
UCD ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCD / FT UCD✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
UCD – last 6
WWLLWL
3 Apr
@ Athlone Town
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Cobh Ramblers
4–0
W
20 Mar
vs Cork City
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Bray Wanderers
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Treaty United
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Finn Harps
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wexford – last 6
WWDDDL
3 Apr
vs Bray Wanderers
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Treaty United
3–2
W
13 Mar
vs Kerry
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Finn Harps
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Wexford.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCD vs Wexford?
On our numbers UCD have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wexford 25%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Wexford?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Wexford?
UCD vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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