Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✓64% · @1.26
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Cork City vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the First Division brings Cork City against Kerry at Turners Cross. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Cork City, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Finn Harps, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kerry, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Kerry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 1.8 xG, Kerry 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 64%, draw 22%, Kerry 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 2–0 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cork City64%fair 1.57 · @1.26
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.90
Kerry14%fair 6.97 · @14.00
2.63Expected goals
1.77Cork City xG
0.86Kerry xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cork City 1.8 – 0.9 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✓
64%
1.57
1.26
Double chance
Cork City or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Cork City (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Kerry +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Cork City to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Cork City ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Cork City – last 6
DWWWDW
3 Apr
@ Finn Harps
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Athlone Town
4–1
W
20 Mar
@ UCD
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 6
LLWDDD
3 Apr
vs Cobh Ramblers
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Bray Wanderers
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Finn Harps
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Wexford
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Treaty United
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cork City and Kerry.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cork City vs Kerry?
On our numbers Cork City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Cork City 2–0 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs Kerry?
Cork City vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
