Value bet: Kerry to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Kerry vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry welcome Bray Wanderers to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 22 May (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Kerry, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Finn Harps, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bray Wanderers, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Cobh Ramblers, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Bray Wanderers 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 33%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 42%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Kerry to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry33%fair 3.03 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Bray Wanderers42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
2.67Expected goals
1.30Kerry xG
1.37Bray Wanderers xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.4 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
On our numbers Kerry have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bray Wanderers 42%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
Kerry vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.