Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerry v Bray Wanderers: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Mounthawk Park

Kerry

LWDDD
2–2
FT
Kerry 33%Draw 25%Bray Wanderers 42% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.37
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Kerry to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Kerry vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kerry welcome Bray Wanderers to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 22 May (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Kerry, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Finn Harps, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bray Wanderers, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Cobh Ramblers, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Bray Wanderers 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 33%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Kerry to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerry33%fair 3.03 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Bray Wanderers42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
2.67Expected goals
1.30Kerry xG
1.37Bray Wanderers xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.4 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✗42%2.392.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.70
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapKerry +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.11
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.85–

Recent results

Kerry – last 6

LWDDDL
8 May@ Finn Harps0–1L
4 Mayvs Cork City1–0W
1 May@ Athlone Town0–0D
17 Aprvs Treaty United1–1D
10 Aprvs UCD1–1D
6 Apr@ Cork City2–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bray Wanderers – last 6

WLDDLD
8 Mayvs Cobh Ramblers5–1W
4 May@ Finn Harps1–2L
1 Mayvs Treaty United2–2D
24 Aprvs Cork City1–1D
17 Apr@ Athlone Town1–2L
6 Aprvs Finn Harps2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Bray Wanderers v Kerry2–1
Kerry vs Bray Wanderers head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

On our numbers Kerry have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bray Wanderers 42%.

How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.