Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUCD to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Wexford vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 22 May: Wexford v UCD in the First Division, played at Ferrycarrig Park. In the table, Wexford are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Wexford, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Longford Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
UCD, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cork City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours UCD, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Wexford.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended UCD 0–0 Wexford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.3 xG, UCD 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 33%, draw 24%, UCD 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: UCD to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wexford33%fair 3.07 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.35
UCD43%fair 2.30 · @2.62
2.94Expected goals
1.29Wexford xG
1.65UCD xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.3 – 1.7 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Wexford vs UCD?
On our numbers Wexford have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UCD 43%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs UCD?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs UCD?
Wexford vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry2