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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cork City v Longford Town: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Turners Cross
3–4
FT
Cork City 63%Draw 20%Longford Town 17% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.99
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCork City to win ✗63% · @1.31
Double chanceCork City or draw ✗83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Cork City vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 10 July the First Division brings Cork City against Longford Town at Turners Cross. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cork City are 1st, leading the league, on 75 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cork City, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cobh Ramblers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.

Longford Town, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UCD, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Longford Town.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Cork City 2–1 Longford Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 1.9 xG, Longford Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 63%, draw 20%, Longford Town 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cork City63%fair 1.58 · @1.31
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.75
Longford Town17%fair 5.98 · @10.25
2.89Expected goals
1.90Cork City xG
0.99Longford Town xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Cork City 1.9 – 1.0 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCork City to win ✗63%1.581.31
Double chanceCork City or draw ✗83%1.201.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.772.05 ▲
Draw no betCork City (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapLongford Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
First team to scoreCork City to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultCork City ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cork City / FT Cork City ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Cork City – last 6

WWWWWW
3 Jul@ Cobh Ramblers1–0W
26 Junvs Bray Wanderers2–0W
19 Junvs Treaty United4–0W
12 Jun@ Wexford2–0W
29 Mayvs Finn Harps4–0W
25 May@ Treaty United1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Longford Town – last 6

WLLWWD
4 Julvs UCD2–1W
26 Jun@ Kerry1–2L
19 Jun@ Bray Wanderers2–5L
13 Junvs Cobh Ramblers2–1W
29 Mayvs Treaty United3–1W
22 May@ Finn Harps2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Cork City v Longford Town2–1
Cork City vs Longford Town head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cork City vs Longford Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cork City vs Longford Town?

On our numbers Cork City have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Longford Town 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Longford Town?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Longford Town?

Our predicted score is Cork City 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Cork City vs Longford Town?

Cork City vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.