Value bet: Kerry to win @ 3.95 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWexford to win ✗46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Wexford vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry travel to face Wexford on Friday 10 July in the First Division, with Ferrycarrig Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Wexford, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Finn Harps, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Kerry, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Treaty United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Wexford.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Wexford 1–1 Kerry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.3 xG, Kerry 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 46%, draw 26%, Kerry 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Kerry to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wexford46%fair 2.20 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.45
Kerry29%fair 3.46 · @3.95
2.51Expected goals
1.33Wexford xG
1.19Kerry xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.3 – 1.2 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wexford vs Kerry?
On our numbers Wexford have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kerry 29%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Kerry?
Wexford vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
