Finn Harps vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 10 July: Finn Harps v Treaty United in the First Division, played at Finn Park. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Treaty United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Finn Harps, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wexford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Treaty United, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kerry, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Finn Harps 2–2 Treaty United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.2 xG, Treaty United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 35%, draw 26%, Treaty United 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 1–1 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finn Harps35%fair 2.87 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Treaty United40%fair 2.53 · @2.48
2.56Expected goals
1.22Finn Harps xG
1.34Treaty United xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.2 – 1.3 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Treaty United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Finn Harps vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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