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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Treaty United v UCD: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Markets Field
0–4
FT

UCD

LLDDW
Treaty United 36%Draw 20%UCD 44% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.50
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultUCD to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32

Treaty United vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UCD travel to face Treaty United on Friday 2 October in the First Division, with Markets Field the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Treaty United, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Finn Harps, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

UCD, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bray Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Aug 2026) it ended UCD 1–2 Treaty United. The last 4 head-to-heads: Treaty United 1 win, UCD 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.8 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.3 xG, UCD 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 36%, draw 20%, UCD 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Treaty United36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
UCD44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
2.82Expected goals
1.32Treaty United xG
1.50UCD xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Treaty United 1.3 – 1.5 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCD to win ✓44%2.272.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.55
Draw no betUCD (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapTreaty United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreUCD to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCD / FT UCD ✓24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.32–

Recent results

Treaty United – last 6

WLWLLD
25 Sepvs Finn Harps2–1W
18 Sep@ Bray Wanderers0–2L
12 Sep@ Longford Town2–0W
4 Sepvs Wexford0–1L
28 Aug@ Kerry1–3L
21 Augvs Cork City2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

UCD – last 6

LLDDWD
25 Sepvs Bray Wanderers1–3L
18 Sep@ Cork City1–5L
11 Sepvs Athlone Town2–2D
4 Sep@ Cobh Ramblers1–1D
28 Augvs Finn Harps5–4W
21 Aug@ Kerry1–1D
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Aug 2026UCD v Treaty United1–2
17 Jul 2026Treaty United v UCD1–2
24 Apr 2026Treaty United v UCD0–3
27 Feb 2026UCD v Treaty United2–0
Treaty United vs UCD head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Treaty United vs UCD?

On our numbers Treaty United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UCD 44%.

How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs UCD?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Treaty United vs UCD?

Treaty United vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.