Wexford 63%Draw 22%Longford Town 15%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.77
85%
Betarazi pick
Wexford or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Wexford to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWexford to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceWexford or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Wexford vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wexford welcome Longford Town to Ferrycarrig Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 2 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Wexford are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Wexford, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Longford Town, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cork City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Longford Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Wexford.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Longford Town 1–2 Wexford. The last 2 head-to-heads: Wexford 1 win, Longford Town 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.8 xG, Longford Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 63%, draw 22%, Longford Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Wexford or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Wexford to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Wexford or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–0 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wexford63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.60
Longford Town15%fair 6.55 · @3.70
2.59Expected goals
1.82Wexford xG
0.77Longford Town xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.8 – 0.8 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wexford vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Wexford or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wexford vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Wexford have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Longford Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–0 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Longford Town?
Wexford vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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