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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Finn Park
2–0
FT
Finn Harps 12%Draw 22%Bray Wanderers 66% Expected goals 0.89 – 2.24
66%
Betarazi pick

Bray Wanderers to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✗88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bray Wanderers travel to face Finn Harps on Friday 16 October in the First Division, with Finn Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Bray Wanderers are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cork City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bray Wanderers, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wexford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bray Wanderers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Bray Wanderers 5–0 Finn Harps. The last 4 head-to-heads: Finn Harps 1 win, Bray Wanderers 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 0.9 xG, Bray Wanderers 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 12%, draw 22%, Bray Wanderers 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bray Wanderers to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 0–2 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Finn Harps12%fair 8.37 · @5.80
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.50
Bray Wanderers66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
3.13Expected goals
0.89Finn Harps xG
2.24Bray Wanderers xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.9 – 2.2 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✗66%1.511.40
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✗88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.55
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapBray Wanderers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultBray Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✗45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLLWL
9 Oct@ Cork City0–2L
2 Octvs Kerry1–2L
25 Sep@ Treaty United1–2L
18 Sepvs Longford Town0–1L
11 Sep@ Wexford3–1W
4 Sepvs Athlone Town0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bray Wanderers – last 6

DLWWWD
9 Octvs Wexford2–2D
2 Octvs Cobh Ramblers1–4L
25 Sep@ UCD3–1W
18 Sepvs Treaty United2–0W
11 Sep@ Kerry1–0W
4 Sepvs Cork City1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps5–0
17 Jul 2026Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers0–1
4 May 2026Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers2–1
6 Apr 2026Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps2–2
Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Our pick is Bray Wanderers to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

On our numbers Finn Harps have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bray Wanderers 66%.

How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–2 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.