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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wexford v UCD: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Ferrycarrig Park

Wexford

DDLWL
2–5
FT

UCD

DWLLD
Wexford 37%Draw 22%UCD 41% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.52
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultUCD to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Wexford vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 16 October: Wexford v UCD in the First Division, played at Ferrycarrig Park. In the table, Wexford are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Wexford, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bray Wanderers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

UCD, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Longford Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended UCD 4–1 Wexford. The last 3 head-to-heads: Wexford 1 win, UCD 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.4 xG, UCD 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 37%, draw 22%, UCD 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wexford37%fair 2.70 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
UCD41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
2.94Expected goals
1.42Wexford xG
1.52UCD xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Wexford 1.4 – 1.5 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCD to win ✓41%2.422.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.44
Draw no betUCD (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapWexford +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreUCD to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCD / FT UCD ✓24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Wexford – last 6

DDLWLW
9 Oct@ Bray Wanderers2–2D
2 Octvs Longford Town3–3D
25 Sep@ Kerry0–1L
18 Sepvs Cobh Ramblers3–1W
11 Sepvs Finn Harps1–3L
4 Sep@ Treaty United1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UCD – last 6

DWLLDD
9 Octvs Longford Town1–1D
2 Oct@ Treaty United4–0W
25 Sepvs Bray Wanderers1–3L
18 Sep@ Cork City1–5L
11 Sepvs Athlone Town2–2D
4 Sep@ Cobh Ramblers1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026UCD v Wexford4–1
22 May 2026Wexford v UCD2–1
6 Apr 2026UCD v Wexford0–0
Wexford vs UCD head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wexford vs UCD?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Wexford vs UCD?

On our numbers Wexford have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCD 41%.

How many goals will there be in Wexford vs UCD?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wexford vs UCD?

Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Wexford vs UCD?

Wexford vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.