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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerry v Cork City: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Mounthawk Park

Kerry

WWWLL
1–1
FT
Kerry 36%Draw 22%Cork City 42% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.42
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCork City to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Kerry vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kerry welcome Cork City to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 16 October (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Kerry, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobh Ramblers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cork City, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Finn Harps, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Cork City.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Cork City 3–1 Kerry. The last 3 head-to-heads: Kerry 1 win, Cork City 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Cork City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 36%, draw 22%, Cork City 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerry36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Cork City42%fair 2.41 · @2.50
2.73Expected goals
1.31Kerry xG
1.42Cork City xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.4 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCork City to win ✗42%2.412.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betCork City (draw no bet)54%1.87–
Asian handicapKerry +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreCork City to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cork City / FT Cork City ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Kerry – last 6

WWWLLW
9 Oct@ Cobh Ramblers2–0W
2 Oct@ Finn Harps2–1W
25 Sepvs Wexford1–0W
18 Sep@ Athlone Town0–3L
11 Sepvs Bray Wanderers0–1L
5 Sep@ Longford Town1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cork City – last 6

WLLWLD
9 Octvs Finn Harps2–0W
2 Oct@ Athlone Town1–2L
26 Sep@ Longford Town1–2L
18 Sepvs UCD5–1W
11 Sepvs Cobh Ramblers2–3L
4 Sep@ Bray Wanderers1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026Cork City v Kerry3–1
4 May 2026Kerry v Cork City1–0
6 Apr 2026Cork City v Kerry4–2
Kerry vs Cork City head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Cork City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Kerry vs Cork City?

On our numbers Kerry have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cork City 42%.

How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Cork City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Cork City?

Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kerry vs Cork City?

Kerry vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.