Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✗38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independ. Rivadavia travel to face Atletico Tucuman on Sunday 26 July in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Tucuman are 26th, lower half, on 32 points after 32 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Talleres Cordoba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigre, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Tucuman 1.3 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Tucuman 38%, draw 27%, Independ. Rivadavia 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Tucuman38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.05
Independ. Rivadavia35%fair 2.87 · @2.78
2.47Expected goals
1.28Atletico Tucuman xG
1.19Independ. Rivadavia xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 1.3 – 1.2 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win✗
38%
2.65
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Tucuman (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Independ. Rivadavia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Tucuman to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Tucuman / FT Atletico Tucuman✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
WDLLWW
20 May
@ Talleres Cordoba
3–0
W
27 Apr
vs Banfield
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
WWWLDW
12 Jul
vs Tigre
1–0
W
28 May
@ Bolívar
3–1
W
21 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
4–2
W
10 May
vs Union Santa Fe
1–2
L
7 May
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Independ. Rivadavia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lanus1
San Lorenzo0
Estudiantes L.P.0
Independiente2
Deportivo Riestra3
Boca Juniors0