Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗52% · @1.99

Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✗81% · @1.20

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.45

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.90

Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Guillermo Laza. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; Boca Juniors are 1st (leading the league) with 63. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Lorenzo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Boca Juniors, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over O'Higgins, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.6 xG, Boca Juniors 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 19%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 52%.
Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Riestra19%fair 5.26 · @4.45

Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.92

Boca Juniors52%fair 1.91 · @1.99

1.82Expected goals

0.56Deportivo Riestra xG

1.26Boca Juniors xG

47%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–120%

0–016%

0–213%

1–111%

1–09%

1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.6 – 1.3 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Boca Juniors to win ✗	52%	1.91	1.99
Double chance	Boca Juniors or draw ✗	81%	1.23	1.20
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.45
Draw no bet	Boca Juniors (draw no bet) ✗	73%	1.36	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Riestra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	72%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Boca Juniors to score first ✗	58%	1.72	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	51%	1.95	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors ✗	31%	3.19	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	20%	4.90	–

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

DDLLWL

17 Jul	@ San Lorenzo	1–1	D
26 May	@ Palestino	1–1	D
19 May	@ Atletico Torque	1–4	L
5 May	vs Gremio	0–3	L
29 Apr	vs Atletico Torque	2–1	W
20 Apr	@ Talleres Cordoba	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Boca Juniors – last 6

WWWLDD

24 Jul	vs O'Higgins	1–0	W
17 Jul	@ Sarmiento Junin	2–0	W
9 Jul	vs Atletico Paranaense	1–0	W
29 May	vs U. Catolica	0–1	L
20 May	vs Cruzeiro	1–1	D
9 May	vs Huracan	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Team

Pts

+12

+13

-3

-8

-5

Central Cordoba de Santiago

-10

Newells Old Boys

-12

Deportivo Riestra

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?

Our pick is Boca Juniors or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?

On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Boca Juniors 52%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?

Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors: numbers & prediction