Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Estudiantes L.P. against Independiente at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Independiente are 13th (upper half) with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rosario Central, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Union Santa Fe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.3 xG, Independiente 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 47%, draw 28%, Independiente 26%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estudiantes L.P. or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Independiente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.47%fair 2.15 · @2.12
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.05
Independiente26%fair 3.86 · @3.70
2.22Expected goals
1.35Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.88Independiente xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.3 – 0.9 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
47%
2.15
2.12
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Independiente +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.86
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
WWLDWD
31 May
vs Rosario Central
3–0
W
27 May
vs Independiente Medellin
1–0
W
21 May
@ Flamengo
0–1
L
6 May
@ Cusco
1–1
D
3 May
@ Platense
2–0
W
30 Apr
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Independiente – last 6
WWDWLL
23 May
@ Union Santa Fe
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs Defensa Y Justicia
3–1
W
11 Apr
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Atenas
4–2
W
22 Mar
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
17 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Independiente.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Independiente 26%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman0
Independ. Rivadavia0