Value bet: San Lorenzo to win @ 2.66 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗41% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.42
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto welcome San Lorenzo to Antonio Candini for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 22 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Tucuman, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
San Lorenzo, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Union Santa Fe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Lorenzo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended San Lorenzo 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 xG, San Lorenzo 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 33%, draw 26%, San Lorenzo 41%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: San Lorenzo to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto33%fair 3.04 · @2.96
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
San Lorenzo41%fair 2.43 · @2.66
1.87Expected goals
0.86Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto xG
1.01San Lorenzo xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 – 1.0 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Lorenzo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Antonio Candini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman0
Gimnasia L.P.2
Independ. Rivadavia0