Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Independiente to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceIndependiente or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Independiente against Independ. Rivadavia. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Independiente are 13th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 4th (among the top four) with 57.
Current form
Independiente, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lanus, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fluminense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente 1.7 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente 60%, draw 24%, Independ. Rivadavia 16%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Independiente to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Independ. Rivadavia16%fair 6.13 · @4.33
2.45Expected goals
1.70Independiente xG
0.75Independ. Rivadavia xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Independiente 1.7 – 0.8 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Independiente or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Independiente -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Independiente to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente / FT Independiente✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Independiente – last 6
WLLLWW
17 Aug
@ Lanus
3–1
W
12 Aug
@ Atletico Tucuman
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs Platense
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Newells Old Boys
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Estudiantes L.P.
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
DLDWLW
18 Aug
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–2
L
11 Aug
@ Fluminense
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–1
W
3 Aug
@ Sarmiento Junin
1–2
L
30 Jul
vs Huracan
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Independiente or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Independiente have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independ. Rivadavia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Independiente 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0
Atletico Tucuman0
Gimnasia L.P.2