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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimnasia L.P. v Gimnasia M.: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
2–3
FT
Gimnasia L.P. 64%Draw 24%Gimnasia M. 12% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.57
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 1.84 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia L.P. to win ✗64% · @1.84
Double chanceGimnasia L.P. or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65

Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnasia M. travel to face Gimnasia L.P. on Saturday 22 August in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia L.P. are 5th, upper half, on 57 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia M. are 17th (lower half) with 41. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gimnasia L.P., last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Riestra, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Gimnasia M., last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Talleres Cordoba, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Gimnasia M. 0–1 Gimnasia L.P..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia L.P. 1.7 xG, Gimnasia M. 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia L.P. 64%, draw 24%, Gimnasia M. 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gimnasia L.P. or draw (88%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Gimnasia L.P. to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Gimnasia M.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia L.P.64%fair 1.56 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.15
Gimnasia M.12%fair 8.68 · @4.80
2.25Expected goals
1.69Gimnasia L.P. xG
0.57Gimnasia M. xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.7 – 0.6 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia L.P. to win ✗64%1.561.84 ▲
Double chanceGimnasia L.P. or draw ✗88%1.131.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.67
Draw no betGimnasia L.P. (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapGimnasia L.P. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.101.05
First team to scoreGimnasia L.P. to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimnasia L.P. / FT Gimnasia L.P. ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.65–

Recent results

Gimnasia L.P. – last 6

DLWWWL
18 Aug@ Deportivo Riestra1–1D
15 Aug@ Estudiantes L.P.0–4L
9 Augvs Barracas Central2–0W
2 Aug@ Aldosivi2–1W
29 Julvs River Plate1–0W
24 Jul@ Racing Club1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gimnasia M. – last 6

WLWLWW
18 Augvs Talleres Cordoba3–1W
9 Aug@ Instituto Cordoba0–1L
1 Augvs Union Santa Fe2–0W
28 Jul@ San Lorenzo0–1L
24 Julvs Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0W
4 Mayvs Defensa Y Justicia2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Gimnasia M. v Gimnasia L.P.0–1
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia M. 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.