Independ. Rivadavia v Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗44% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Independ. Rivadavia against Gimnasia L.P. at Estadio Bautista Gargantini. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barracas Central, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Gimnasia L.P., last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Banfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Gimnasia L.P..

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Gimnasia L.P. 2–3 Independ. Rivadavia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.5 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 44%, draw 25%, Gimnasia L.P. 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independ. Rivadavia44%fair 2.25 · @2.20

Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90

Gimnasia L.P.31%fair 3.22 · @3.30

2.64Expected goals

1.46Independ. Rivadavia xG

1.18Gimnasia L.P. xG

55%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.5 – 1.2 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independ. Rivadavia to win ✗	44%	2.25	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.91 ▲
Draw no bet	Independ. Rivadavia (draw no bet)	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Gimnasia L.P. +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Independ. Rivadavia to score first ✓	51%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia ✗	26%	3.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.12	–

Independ. Rivadavia – last 6

WDWLWW

21 Sep	@ Barracas Central	1–0	W
16 Sep	vs Atletico Tucuman	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Aldosivi	4–3	W
6 Sep	@ River Plate	1–3	L
31 Aug	vs Racing Club	3–1	W
26 Aug	@ Aldosivi	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Gimnasia L.P. – last 6

DDWWLD

19 Sep	vs Banfield	2–2	D
13 Sep	@ Argentinos JRS	1–1	D
5 Sep	vs Tigre	2–1	W
29 Aug	@ Rosario Central	2–1	W
22 Aug	vs Gimnasia M.	2–3	L
18 Aug	@ Deportivo Riestra	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	+10	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	+4	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	-2	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	-13	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	-19	5

Team

Pts

+14

+10

-7

-2

-5

-13

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.?

On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnasia L.P. 31%.

How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bautista Gargantini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Independ. Rivadavia v Gimnasia L.P.: numbers & prediction