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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Newells Old Boys v Lanus: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newells Old Boys

WDDDW
0–0
FT

Lanus

WWWLD
Newells Old Boys 37%Draw 25%Lanus 38% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.13
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.10Odds

Picks by market

ResultLanus to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.23

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Newells Old Boys v Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Newells Old Boys, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Platense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lanus, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantes L.P., at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Lanus 5–0 Newells Old Boys.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.1 xG, Lanus 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 37%, draw 25%, Lanus 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–1 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newells Old Boys37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.88
Lanus38%fair 2.60 · @2.70
2.23Expected goals
1.10Newells Old Boys xG
1.13Lanus xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 1.1 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanus to win ✗38%2.602.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.40 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.942.10 ▲
Draw no betLanus (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapNewells Old Boys +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreLanus to score first ✗45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lanus / FT Lanus ✗20%4.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.23–

Recent results

Newells Old Boys – last 6

WDDDWW
20 Sep@ Platense1–0W
11 Sepvs Velez Sarsfield1–1D
6 Sep@ Rosario Central1–1D
31 Aug@ Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
23 Augvs Banfield2–1W
15 Augvs Deportivo Riestra2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Lanus – last 6

WWWLDL
22 Sepvs Estudiantes L.P.2–1W
14 Sep@ Deportivo Riestra3–0W
6 Sepvs Defensa Y Justicia1–0W
29 Aug@ Boca Juniors0–1L
25 Augvs Argentinos JRS1–1D
17 Augvs Independiente1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Lanus v Newells Old Boys5–0
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Boca Juniors3 Union Santa Fe0 167%1.40X21%4.20212%7.00 1.9–0.7xG 1Boca Juniors to win 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Independ. Rivadavia1 Gimnasia L.P.1 144%2.20X25%2.90231%3.30 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✓
FT Defensa Y Justicia3 San Lorenzo0 149%2.05X25%2.88226%3.90 1.2–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.67 ✓
FT Atletico Tucuman2 Barracas Central3 157%1.91X24%2.90219%4.40 1.2–0.5xG 1XAtletico Tucuman or draw 81%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lanus 38%.

How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.