Guadalajara W 76%Draw 16%Atlas W 8%Expected goals 2.40 – 0.69
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 52% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara W to win ✓76% · @1.16
Double chanceGuadalajara W or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Guadalajara W vs Atlas W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Guadalajara W v Atlas W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Akron. In the table, Guadalajara W are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 14 matches; Atlas W are 13th (lower half) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara W 2.4 xG, Atlas W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara W 76%, draw 16%, Atlas W 8%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara W 2–0 Atlas W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara W76%fair 1.32 · @1.16
Draw16%fair 6.06 · @6.60
Atlas W8%fair 12.48 · @17.00
3.08Expected goals
2.40Guadalajara W xG
0.69Atlas W xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara W 2.4 – 0.7 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara W
Atlas W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+14%
-34%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.47
0.74
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara W to win✓
76%
1.32
1.16
Double chance
Guadalajara W or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Guadalajara W (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Guadalajara W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Guadalajara W to score first✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara W ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara W / FT Guadalajara W✗
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Guadalajara W
No recent results on record.
Atlas W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara W and Atlas W.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara W vs Atlas W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Guadalajara W vs Atlas W?
On our numbers Guadalajara W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Atlas W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara W vs Atlas W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara W vs Atlas W?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara W 2–0 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara W vs Atlas W?
Guadalajara W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0